The system, moving west, northwest, is expected to spread rain across Florida and the islands, including the Bahamas and Turks and Caicos, into early next week, forecasters said.
The first is Potential Tropical Cyclone Six off the west African coast.
Though it may soon become Tropical Storm Florence, it may not make it to hurricane strength.
The Atlantic Hurricane Season officially began on June 1, and it seemed that it would be an extra active season since Subtropical Storm Alberto formed in late May (a full week and a half before the official start of the season).
Rain over the USVI and a storm forming near Africa.
The National Hurricane Center has issued an advisory for tropical weather that is expected to have a low chance of development as it moves towards the Gulf of Mexico next week. At this time, the NHC only gives this system a 10% of turning into a tropical system within the next five days.
The Hurricane Center reported in its most recent advisory that maximum sustained winds are near 30 miles per hour with higher gusts. Once it reaches the Gulf of Mexico, conditions for intensification could improve.
The system is then expected to move away from the islands and intensify into a hurricane by the middle of next week. Right now, water temperatures are sitting close to 90° in spots. While one forecast model (European model) was originally more aggressive in developing a potential tropical storm, it has now pulled back and is now suggesting something much weaker.
Some model trends indicate the wave will have its greatest impact on Central Florida by Labor Day and Tuesday., with moisture continuing to enhance rain chances through midweek. A lot of details still need to be worked out, but for now, the current trend is keeping September off to a bit of a soggy start.