Tropical system expected in the Gulf of Mexico


"This system is producing a large area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity well east and northeast of the low over much of the eastern Gulf of Mexico".

An "invest" labeled storm simply means that the National Hurricane Center is monitoring that particular area of disturbance for possible development into a tropical depression or storm.

"Regardless of development, interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress of this system".

Another system near the Yucatan Peninsula has a 90 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next five days.

Tropical development has been quick to come to center stage this weekend as two separate areas in the Atlantic Basin are holding the potential for development.

The next two names for hurricanes are Bret and Cindy.

Forecasters expect the Atlantic storm to continue strengthening through the day but say it will likely weaken if it interacts with land over Venezuela.

A tropical system trying to form near the Yucatan Peninsula. The system is also somewhat odd because it will likely form farther south than most tropical cyclones around the globe. The reason for the low confidence forecast as of now is because of numerous differences in reliable forecast models on where it will eventually track.

The National Weather Service in Mobile said rain chances along Alabama's Gulf Coast will begin to increase starting tonight as tropical moisture streams northward.

It's too early to say with any certainty where the center will come ashore.

Barbados is now under a tropical storm warning.

But will the storm pick up enough wind speed to turn into a hurricane?

At best, this system could strengthen into a Tropical Storm but the real threat will be flooding.

Depending on what this tropical system does, our forecast could differ greatly.

Invest 93, the closer of the two storms, has winds up to 40 miles per hour and is near the Yucatan Peninsula and forecast to move into the Gulf of Mexico on Monday, Gilmore said.



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